TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC
Volume:
$1,309,017
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Ligue 1 soccer match between Racing Club de Lens and AS Monaco FC scheduled for February 21, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Lens win, a Monaco win, or a draw, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's cancellation logic creates a logical contradiction: the draw market resolves YES on cancellation while both win markets resolve NO, violating the mutual exclusivity of the three outcomes. Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, leaving its resolution undefined in that scenario.Hero Tip:
Do not assume cancellation will be handled identically across platforms. Request written confirmation from Polymarket on how it will enforce mutual exclusivity if the game is canceled, and from Kalshi on its cancellation protocol. This is a critical edge case that could result in settlement disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with conflicting cancellation rules. Monaco Win and Lens Win markets resolve NO on cancellation; Draw market resolves YES on cancellation. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES' (Draw) vs. 'this market will resolve NO' (Win markets).
- Kalshi: Three outcome-specific markets (Tie, Lens, Monaco) with no explicit cancellation clause. All three markets state resolution occurs 'if [outcome] wins the Lens vs Monaco professional Ligue 1 soccer game' but provide no fallback for cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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