This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Quinnipiac Bobcats and Siena Saints scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread (-3.5 Siena), and over/under totals (143.5 and 144.5).
Kalshi's moneyline market has a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Quinnipiac win or Siena win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline - it is logically broken. Use Polymarket's moneyline instead. Spread and total markets are safe to trade on both platforms as they use consistent threshold-based logic.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market structure is logically incoherent. Both outcomes (Quinnipiac wins OR Siena wins) resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path. Quote: 'If Quinnipiac wins...resolves to Yes. If Siena wins...resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline market uses proper binary logic with distinct outcomes. Quinnipiac victory resolves to 'Quinnipiac Bobcats', Siena victory resolves to 'Siena Saints'. Cancellation without makeup triggers 50-50 split. Quote: 'If the Quinnipiac Bobcats win, the market will resolve to Quinnipiac Bobcats. If the Siena Saints win, the market will resolve to Siena Saints.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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