Kalshi's market rules contain a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. All three outcomes (Bristol City win, Tie, QPR win) are listed as resolving to YES, which violates the basic principle that exactly one outcome must occur. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets (QPR win, Bristol City win, Draw) with mutually exclusive resolution logic.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's markets for this event group. The platform's resolution rules are internally contradictory—all three possible match outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to YES. Polymarket's three separate markets (QPR win, Bristol City win, Draw) are logically sound and resolvable. Trade only on Polymarket.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi lists three separate resolution conditions, each stating 'the market resolves to Yes' for Bristol City win, Tie, and QPR win respectively. This creates a logical impossibility where all three mutually exclusive outcomes cannot all resolve YES. Key quote: 'If Bristol City wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If QPR wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Aligned with sound resolution logic: Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Each market resolves YES for one specific outcome (QPR win, Bristol City win, or Draw) and NO for all others. Key quote: 'If Queens Park Rangers FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (and equivalent logic for Bristol City and Draw markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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