TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Volume:
$2,004,325
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Queens (NC) Royals and Purdue Boilermakers on March 20 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events: Kalshi settles on first-half regulation results (resolving YES for any outcome: Purdue win, Queens win, or tie), while Polymarket settles on full-game final scores and point spreads. These are incompatible resolution scopes.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group. A Kalshi YES (guaranteed by any first-half outcome) does not correlate with Polymarket full-game outcomes. Kalshi's first-half market is essentially a guaranteed payout regardless of game result, making it a fundamentally different bet than Polymarket's winner and spread markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves YES if Purdue wins the first half, Queens wins the first half, or a tie occurs in the first half of regulation only. The market explicitly states 'If Purdue is the winner of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Queens University is the winner of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie is the result of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means Kalshi's market resolves YES in all three possible first-half outcomes, making it a guaranteed payout unrelated to full-game results.
- Polymarket: Aligned with itself on full-game settlement: Polymarket resolves on final full-game scores including overtime, with separate markets for moneyline (Queens vs. Purdue winner), multiple point spreads (Purdue -19.5 through -37.5), and over/under totals (157.5 through 173.5). All Polymarket markets explicitly state 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods' and resolve based on full-game outcomes, not first-half results.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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