TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Central Arkansas Bears
Volume:
$281,641
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Queens (NC) Royals and Central Arkansas Bears scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple spread variations, and total points over/under thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Queens win or Central Arkansas win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This represents a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution criteria are logically impossible—a binary market cannot resolve Yes for all outcomes. Request clarification from Kalshi or treat this market as suspended pending correction. Polymarket's moneyline and derivative markets provide clear, consistent resolution logic and should be used as the authoritative source.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to the name of the winning team (Queens or Central Arkansas). Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds: -2.5 requires 3+ point win for Bears, -1.5 requires 2+ point win for Bears. Totals resolve based on combined score: 164.5 threshold requires 165+ for Over, 163.5 threshold requires 164+ for Over. All markets remain open if postponed and resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Final score includes overtime.
- Kalshi: Market states: 'If Queens University wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Central Arkansas wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no path for a No resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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