TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets
Volume:
$314,235
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Qingdao Hainiu FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC (also referenced as 'Zhejiang Prof.' on Kalshi) compete in a Chinese Super League match scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET. Markets span spread betting (-1.5, -2.5 goal margins), total goals (Over/Under 1.5–4.5), both teams to score, and outright match outcome. All markets resolve based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on market scope and outcome structure. Polymarket offers multiple binary markets on specific outcomes (Over/Under totals, spreads, both teams to score), while Kalshi presents three separate Yes/No markets that collectively cover all possible match outcomes (Zhejiang win, tie, Qingdao win), creating fundamentally different settlement frameworks.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on specific match statistics (total goals, goal differential, both teams scoring). If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on match outcome only (win/tie/loss). A single final score may resolve differently across platforms because Polymarket's markets are independent statistical bets while Kalshi's three markets are mutually exclusive outcome bets. Ensure your position aligns with which platform's settlement logic you intend.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six independent binary markets on match statistics and performance metrics. Markets include Over/Under on combined goals (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), both teams to score (Yes/No), and spreads on goal differential for each team (Qingdao -1.5, -2.5 and Zhejiang -1.5, -2.5). Each market resolves independently based on the final score published on csl-china.com. For example, a 2-1 Qingdao win resolves: O/U 1.5 = Over, O/U 2.5 = Under, O/U 3.5 = Under, O/U 4.5 = Under, Both Teams to Score = Yes, Qingdao -1.5 = Yes, Qingdao -2.5 = No, Zhejiang -1.5 = No, Zhejiang -2.5 = No.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers three mutually exclusive Yes/No markets covering all possible match outcomes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time: (1) Zhejiang Prof. wins, (2) Tie occurs, (3) Qingdao Hainiu wins. Exactly one of these three markets will resolve Yes; the other two resolve No. Resolution is binary outcome-based only, with no statistical sub-markets. A 2-1 Qingdao win resolves: Zhejiang = No, Tie = No, Qingdao = Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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