TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.2b

24H VOL:

$217,900,088

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,256,149,940

499,530

Markets across

13,705

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,785

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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Trending

QFEX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Mar 25, 2026, 4:30 PM EST - Jan 1, 2028, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$17,511
Volume 24h:
$337
149%
Liquidity:
$5,655
82%
Open interest:
$646
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group tracks whether QFEX's official token will achieve specific fully diluted valuation (FDV) thresholds at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the day following its public launch. The group contains six linked markets at different FDV price points ($50M, $80M, $100M, $200M, $300M, $500M), all measuring the same underlying event with identical resolution criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria, timing, token qualification rules, FDV calculation methodology, and price source hierarchy with no material divergence.

Primary resolution logic:

Most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following QFEX token launch; official QFEX Twitter account for launch confirmation

Core resolution logic:

  • QFEX must launch an official token that is actively and publicly tradable
  • Token must not be a stablecoin, memecoin, LST, or synthetic token
  • FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price at the specified resolution time
  • Resolution time is exactly 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch
  • Price is sourced from the most liquid available market at resolution time
  • If no official token launches by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve NO
  • YES resolution requires FDV to be strictly greater than the specified threshold

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • No Launch by Deadline: If QFEX does not launch an official token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all six markets in this group resolve to NO regardless of threshold level.
  • Token Disqualification: If the launched token is determined to be a stablecoin, memecoin, LST, or synthetic token, it does not qualify and markets resolve NO.
  • Illiquidity at Resolution Time: If the token is not actively and publicly tradable at 4:00 PM ET on the resolution date, the market cannot resolve and may be cancelled or delayed pending liquidity establishment.
  • FDV Exactly at Threshold: If FDV equals the threshold exactly (e.g., exactly $100M), the market resolves NO because the criterion requires FDV to be strictly greater than the specified value.
  • Multiple Price Sources: When multiple liquid markets exist, the most liquid source (typically highest volume exchange) is used to determine the official price at 4:00 PM ET.

Timing:

Resolution occurs at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the public launch of QFEX's official token. If no launch occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve NO on that deadline date.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.