TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Oregon Ducks (W)
Volume:
$53,619
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Purdue Boilermakers and Oregon Ducks scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Purdue win and Oregon win are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a single-outcome game. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the contradiction is resolved. Assume Kalshi intended a standard binary structure (Purdue=Yes, Oregon=No or inverse). Polymarket's logic is sound and should be your primary reference. Request clarification from Kalshi support before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary outcome market. Purdue victory resolves to 'Purdue Boilermakers', Oregon victory resolves to 'Oregon Ducks'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Stated as Yes/No market but contains logical error: 'If Purdue wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Oregon wins...resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same state in a mutually exclusive game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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