TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Purdue Boilermakers vs. Oregon Ducks (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Oregon Ducks (W)

Volume:
$53,619

Oregon

 - Kalshi

Oregon - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oregon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,881
N/A
N/A
$23,605
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Purdue

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,738
N/A
N/A
$21,359
Settled
No
polymarket

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Oregon Ducks (W)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Purdue Boilermakers and Oregon Ducks scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Purdue win and Oregon win are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a single-outcome game. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi until the contradiction is resolved. Assume Kalshi intended a standard binary structure (Purdue=Yes, Oregon=No or inverse). Polymarket's logic is sound and should be your primary reference. Request clarification from Kalshi support before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary outcome market. Purdue victory resolves to 'Purdue Boilermakers', Oregon victory resolves to 'Oregon Ducks'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Stated as Yes/No market but contains logical error: 'If Purdue wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Oregon wins...resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same state in a mutually exclusive game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.