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399,592

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30,097

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2,622

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5

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Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwestern Wildcats
kalshi
polymarket

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwestern Wildcats

Volume:
$1,807,337

Purdue

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Purdue

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,028,044
N/A
N/A
$858,849
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwestern Wildcats

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northwestern

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$763,436
N/A
N/A
$485,275
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,933
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 146.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 145.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A college basketball game between Purdue Boilermakers and Northwestern Wildcats scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-11.5 and -12.5), and over/under totals (145.5 and 146.5 points).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Northwestern win and Purdue win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline is logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. Use Polymarket moneyline for winner determination. Spread and total markets are usable but represent different SKUs (varying thresholds), not true divergences. All platforms agree on postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) handling.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical error: 'If Northwestern wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Purdue wins...resolves to Yes' - both outcomes cannot resolve to the same value in a binary market.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market is logically sound: resolves to 'Purdue Boilermakers' if Purdue wins, or 'Northwestern Wildcats' if Northwestern wins - mutually exclusive and exhaustive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.