TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwestern Wildcats
Volume:
$1,807,337
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Purdue Boilermakers and Northwestern Wildcats scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-11.5 and -12.5), and over/under totals (145.5 and 146.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Northwestern win and Purdue win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline is logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. Use Polymarket moneyline for winner determination. Spread and total markets are usable but represent different SKUs (varying thresholds), not true divergences. All platforms agree on postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical error: 'If Northwestern wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Purdue wins...resolves to Yes' - both outcomes cannot resolve to the same value in a binary market.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market is logically sound: resolves to 'Purdue Boilermakers' if Purdue wins, or 'Northwestern Wildcats' if Northwestern wins - mutually exclusive and exhaustive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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