This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Purdue Boilermakers and Iowa Hawkeyes scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET at Iowa. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and over/under totals at 141.5 and 142.5 points.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Iowa win and Purdue win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline and all spread/total markets across both platforms are logically sound.
Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely due to the logical error. Trade with confidence on Polymarket's moneyline and on all spread and over/under markets on both platforms, which use consistent and resolvable logic. Confirm final scores via NCAA.com.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Iowa wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Purdue wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Spread and total markets on Kalshi are not provided in source data.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Purdue Boilermakers' if Purdue wins or 'Iowa Hawkeyes' if Iowa wins - standard binary logic. Spreads at -1.5 and -2.5 resolve based on margin of victory. Totals at 141.5 and 142.5 resolve based on combined score. All markets include postponement and cancellation provisions (50-50 split if canceled with no makeup).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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