TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats
Volume:
$37,516,767
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the men's college basketball matchup between Purdue Boilermakers and Arizona Wildcats scheduled for March 28, 2026, played at Arizona's home venue. The markets resolve based on the final outcome of the game, with either team's victory triggering a Yes resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market rules contain a logical contradiction that makes resolution impossible. Kalshi states that the market resolves YES if either Purdue wins OR Arizona wins, which means the market resolves YES for every possible outcome of the game. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes where one team winning resolves to that team's name and the other team winning resolves to the other team's name.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2). The resolution logic is broken and will resolve YES regardless of the actual game outcome. Trade only on Polymarket's moneyline market (item 1-2 equivalent) where resolution is properly structured: Purdue win = 'Purdue Boilermakers', Arizona win = 'Arizona Wildcats'. All spread and over/under markets on Polymarket are resolvable and align with standard sports betting logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction in the moneyline market. The rules state 'If Purdue wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Arizona wins...then the market resolves to Yes', meaning the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as there is no NO outcome. Quote: 'If Purdue wins the Purdue at Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona wins the Purdue at Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard resolution logic: Moneyline market uses mutually exclusive outcomes where Purdue winning resolves to 'Purdue Boilermakers' and Arizona winning resolves to 'Arizona Wildcats'. All spread and over/under markets follow standard sports betting thresholds with proper binary outcomes. Quote: 'If the Purdue Boilermakers win, the market will resolve to "Purdue Boilermakers". If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Arizona Wildcats".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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