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400,720

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30,097

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2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC
polymarket
kalshi

Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC

Volume:
$96,568

Pumas de la UNAM

 - Polymarket

Pumas de la UNAM - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 13, 2026

Closed: Apr 12, 2:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Pumas de la UNAM

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pumas UNAM wins by over 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,326
N/A
N/A
$10,449
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mazatlán FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pumas UNAM wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,627
N/A
N/A
$6,266
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mazatlan wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,340
N/A
N/A
$3,040
Settled
No
kalshi

Mazatlan wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,798
N/A
N/A
$1,788
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Sunday, April 12, 2026 between Pumas de la UNAM and Mazatlán FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket settles on three binary outcomes (draw, Pumas win, Mazatlán win) covering all possible match results, while Kalshi settles on four goal-differential thresholds that create overlapping and mutually exclusive scenarios. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution scopes: Polymarket covers the complete outcome space with mutually exclusive markets, whereas Kalshi's markets can resolve YES simultaneously for different goal margins.Hero tip: If you trade on Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES. On Kalshi, multiple markets can resolve YES in the same match (e.g., if Pumas wins 3-0, both 'Pumas wins by more than 1.5' and 'Pumas wins by more than 2.5' resolve YES). Do not assume Kalshi markets are mutually exclusive like Polymarket's.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses three mutually exclusive binary markets covering all possible outcomes—draw, Pumas win, or Mazatlán win—each resolving YES or NO based on the final 90-minute result. 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' Exactly one market resolves YES per match.
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi uses four goal-differential threshold markets that are not mutually exclusive. Markets resolve YES if either team wins by a specified margin (Mazatlán >1.5, Mazatlán >2.5, Pumas >1.5, Pumas >2.5). Multiple Kalshi markets can resolve YES simultaneously in the same match, and all four can resolve NO if the match ends in a draw or with a 1-goal margin. 'If Mazatlan wins by more than 1.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.