TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC
Volume:
$96,568
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Sunday, April 12, 2026 between Pumas de la UNAM and Mazatlán FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket settles on three binary outcomes (draw, Pumas win, Mazatlán win) covering all possible match results, while Kalshi settles on four goal-differential thresholds that create overlapping and mutually exclusive scenarios. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution scopes: Polymarket covers the complete outcome space with mutually exclusive markets, whereas Kalshi's markets can resolve YES simultaneously for different goal margins.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES. On Kalshi, multiple markets can resolve YES in the same match (e.g., if Pumas wins 3-0, both 'Pumas wins by more than 1.5' and 'Pumas wins by more than 2.5' resolve YES). Do not assume Kalshi markets are mutually exclusive like Polymarket's.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses three mutually exclusive binary markets covering all possible outcomes—draw, Pumas win, or Mazatlán win—each resolving YES or NO based on the final 90-minute result. 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' Exactly one market resolves YES per match.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi uses four goal-differential threshold markets that are not mutually exclusive. Markets resolve YES if either team wins by a specified margin (Mazatlán >1.5, Mazatlán >2.5, Pumas >1.5, Pumas >2.5). Multiple Kalshi markets can resolve YES simultaneously in the same match, and all four can resolve NO if the match ends in a draw or with a 1-goal margin. 'If Mazatlan wins by more than 1.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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