TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez
Volume:
$934,651
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Pumas de la UNAM will face FC Juárez in a Liga MX professional soccer match scheduled for April 21, 2026. This event group contains three binary outcome markets: Pumas win, Juárez win, and draw. All markets resolve based on the final result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Pumas win, draw, or Juárez win), making it logically impossible to resolve to NO. This is a fundamental logical contradiction that renders the Kalshi market unresolvable, while Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical error where all three outcome conditions resolve to YES, meaning the market cannot meaningfully differentiate between outcomes. Polymarket offers three properly exclusive markets (Pumas win, draw, Juárez win) that function as intended. Trade only on Polymarket for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) Draw resolves YES only if match ends 0-0 or tied; (2) Pumas win resolves YES only if Pumas scores more goals; (3) Juárez win resolves YES only if Juárez scores more goals. Exactly one market resolves YES per match outcome. Resolution source: official Liga MX statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all set to YES: 'If Pumas UNAM wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes. If Juarez wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market resolves YES regardless of match outcome, violating basic binary market structure. No NO resolution path exists.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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