TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF América
Volume:
$331,244
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Pumas de la UNAM and CF América.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets focus exclusively on total goals scored (over/under thresholds: 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), while Polymarket markets focus on match outcome (Pumas win, draw, América win). These are fundamentally different resolution dimensions with no logical overlap.Hero Tip:
Kalshi bettors are predicting goal volume; Polymarket bettors are predicting match result. A high-scoring draw (e.g., 2-2) resolves YES on Kalshi's 2.5+ and 3.5+ markets but NO on Polymarket's Pumas/América win markets and YES on the draw market. Do not assume correlation between platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on total goals scored by both teams combined across four over/under thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 goals). Each market independently resolves YES if the threshold is exceeded, NO otherwise. Quote: 'If America and Pumas UNAM collectively score more than X total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on three mutually exclusive match outcomes (Pumas win, draw, América win) determined by final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Only one outcome per match can resolve YES. Quote: 'If Pumas de la UNAM wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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