TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Providence Friars vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)
Volume:
$675,052
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) matchup between Providence Friars and Connecticut Huskies scheduled for February 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both aim to resolve based on the final game outcome, but differ fundamentally in their resolution logic and scope.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both a Providence win and a UConn win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and incapable of distinguishing outcomes. Polymarket uses a proper binary structure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version. The market design is broken—both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), violating basic prediction market logic. Polymarket's binary outcome structure is the only valid framework for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear win conditions: Providence Friars resolves to 'Providence Friars', Connecticut Huskies resolves to 'Connecticut Huskies'. Includes edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective logic: states both 'If Providence wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If UConn wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible game outcome resolves to the same state, making the market unresolvable and eliminating any meaningful distinction between winning and losing positions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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