TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogs
Volume:
$2,044,031
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the men's college basketball game between Providence Friars and Butler Bulldogs scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-1.5 Providence), and two over/under totals (162.5 and 163.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Butler win and Providence win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. The market logic is broken and cannot be settled correctly. Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets are all safe and use consistent NCAA.com sourcing.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Butler win AND Providence win, creating a logical impossibility. No coherent resolution path exists. Quote: 'If Butler wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Providence wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Providence Friars or Butler Bulldogs), spread resolves based on margin (Providence by 2+), and totals resolve based on combined points. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and resolvable. Quote: 'If the Providence Friars win, the market will resolve to Providence Friars. If the Butler Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to Butler Bulldogs.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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