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404,175

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2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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61%

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Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogs
kalshi
polymarket

Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogs

Volume:
$2,044,031

Providence

 - Kalshi

Providence - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 12, 2026

Closed: Mar 11, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Providence

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$850,216
N/A
N/A
$550,154
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81,995
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Butler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,108,342
N/A
N/A
$672,655
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 163.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 162.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the men's college basketball game between Providence Friars and Butler Bulldogs scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-1.5 Providence), and two over/under totals (162.5 and 163.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Butler win and Providence win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. The market logic is broken and cannot be settled correctly. Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets are all safe and use consistent NCAA.com sourcing.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Butler win AND Providence win, creating a logical impossibility. No coherent resolution path exists. Quote: 'If Butler wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Providence wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Providence Friars or Butler Bulldogs), spread resolves based on margin (Providence by 2+), and totals resolve based on combined points. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and resolvable. Quote: 'If the Providence Friars win, the market will resolve to Providence Friars. If the Butler Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to Butler Bulldogs.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.