TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Preston North End FC vs. Stoke City FC
Volume:
$176,322
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Preston North End FC and Stoke City FC scheduled for March 20, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Preston win, draw, or Stoke win, all measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi differ on cancellation resolution logic. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup, while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no cancellation guidance, creating ambiguity on how a canceled match would settle.Hero Tip:
Traders holding Polymarket draw positions benefit if the match is canceled; those holding win positions do not. Kalshi's lack of cancellation language means resolution is undefined in that scenario. Monitor official EFL announcements closely and consider the cancellation risk asymmetry when positioning.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Preston win and Stoke win markets resolve NO if canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup. All three markets remain open if postponed and resolve only after the match is completed. Primary source is official EFL statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus thereafter. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes/No [depending on market type].'
- Kalshi: Single three-outcome market (Preston win, Tie, Stoke win) covering the same match and time window. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Resolves YES if any of the three outcomes occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: 'If Preston/Tie/Stoke wins the Preston vs Stoke professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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