TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC
Volume:
$150,687
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Preston North End FC and Queens Park Rangers FC scheduled for April 6, 2026. Three prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three possible outcomes: QPR win, draw, or Preston win, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Preston win, QPR win, draw) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three separate YES/NO markets that can all resolve YES simultaneously if the match completes normally. This creates a logical contradiction: under Polymarket logic, only one outcome is possible; under Kalshi logic, all three outcomes are possible in a single match.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-trade these markets assuming they are equivalent. On Polymarket, the three markets are mutually exclusive and sum to 100% probability. On Kalshi, all three markets can resolve YES at the same time (one for each possible match outcome), making them non-exclusive. Arbitrage or hedging strategies that assume equivalence across platforms will fail.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Preston win, QPR win, or draw) will resolve YES and the other two resolve NO. The rules state 'If Queens Park Rangers FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' for the QPR market, 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' for the draw market, and 'If Preston North End FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' for the Preston market. This creates a partition where only one market can be YES.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi defines three independent YES/NO markets, each tied to a specific outcome: 'If Preston wins...then the market resolves to Yes', 'If QPR wins...then the market resolves to Yes', and 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes'. Because each market independently resolves YES if its condition is met, all three markets will resolve YES simultaneously when the match completes (one for Preston, one for QPR, one for Tie), violating the mutual exclusivity assumed in Polymarket.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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