TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Premiership Rugby: Winner
Total volume:
$1,410
Volume 24h:
$11
0%
Liquidity:
$166
670%
Open interest:
$1,177
0.97%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
These markets resolve based on which team wins the 2026 English Premiership Rugby Championship final. Kalshi uses a simple yes/no structure for each of the 10 Premiership teams, while Polymarket offers granular individual team markets plus an 'other' catch-all, with explicit cancellation and tie-breaking rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi omits explicit fallback logic for cancellations, postponements, and non-listed teams, while Polymarket provides comprehensive edge-case coverage including an 'other' category and tie-breaking rules.Hero Tip:
Kalshi markets lack cancellation protection; Polymarket's 'other' market provides explicit coverage for disruptions after July 4, 2026 11:59 AM ET. If regulatory or structural changes to the Premiership occur, Polymarket's framework is more robust. Kalshi traders should monitor league announcements closely.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary yes/no for each of 10 Premiership teams. Resolution occurs when a team wins the 2026 championship. No explicit handling of cancellations, postponements, or non-listed teams. Quote: 'If [Team] wins the 2026 Gallagher Premiership Rugby Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: 20+ individual team markets plus 'other' catch-all. Explicit 'No' resolution if team is eliminated. Cancellation/postponement after July 4, 2026 11:59 AM ET resolves to 'Other'. Tie-breaking by alphabetical order of official leader. Quote: 'If the 2026 English Premiership Rugby Final is cancelled, postponed after July 4, 2026, 11:59 AM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to Other.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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