TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Predators vs. Sharks
Volume:
$952,317
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL matchup between the Nashville Predators and San Jose Sharks scheduled for April 4 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner) and multiple over/under total goals variants (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), allowing traders to bet on both the game outcome and scoring volume across different thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different resolution frameworks for spread markets. Polymarket defines spreads as binary outcomes (Sharks win by 2+ or Predators win by 2+), while Kalshi structures spreads as conditional Yes/No outcomes based on margin thresholds, creating different settlement logic for identical game scenarios.Hero Tip:
If you trade spread markets across both platforms, note that Polymarket's binary structure (one side must win) differs from Kalshi's conditional structure (Yes resolves if either team wins by the specified margin). A Sharks 3-1 victory resolves identically on both, but edge cases near the margin threshold may behave differently due to how each platform frames the outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with Kalshi on moneyline and over/under markets: resolves based on final score including overtime and shootout adjustments. Distinct stance on spreads: uses binary either/or logic where Sharks (-1.5) resolves YES only if Sharks win by 2+, otherwise resolves to Predators; Predators (-1.5) resolves YES only if Predators win by 2+, otherwise resolves to Sharks. Quote: 'This market will resolve to "Sharks" if the Sharks win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Predators".'
- Kalshi: Aligned with Polymarket on moneyline and over/under logic: resolves based on final score including overtime and shootout adjustments. Distinct stance on spreads: uses conditional Yes/No structure where each market independently resolves Yes if its specific condition is met (e.g., 'San Jose wins by over 2.5 goals' or 'Nashville wins by over 1.5 goals'), allowing multiple markets to resolve Yes simultaneously. Quote: 'If San Jose wins by over 2.5 goals in the Nashville at San Jose professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.