TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Predators vs. Lightning
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 29 at 5:00PM ET: If the Predators win, the market will resolve to "Predators". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides complete, detailed resolution rules for six distinct markets (moneyline, three over/under totals, and a spread), while Kalshi provides only a single ambiguous market that fails to specify which team wins or how the outcome resolves, creating a fundamental data integrity failure on the Kalshi platform.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as presented. The Kalshi resolution rule states 'If TB Lightning wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If NSH Predators wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' which is logically impossible—both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes. Polymarket markets are fully resolvable; Kalshi's market is unresolvable in its current form and requires clarification before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Provides six distinct, fully specified markets with clear thresholds, sources (NHL.com final scores), and edge-case handling. Each market has unambiguous resolution criteria: moneyline (winner takes all), three over/under totals at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 goals (with shootout goal adjustment), and a spread (Lightning -1.5). All markets explicitly state 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Provides a single market with a critical logical contradiction. The resolution rule states 'If TB Lightning wins the Nashville at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' and separately 'If NSH Predators wins the Nashville at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Since one team must win, both conditions cannot be true simultaneously, making the market logically unresolvable. No source, postponement clause, cancellation clause, or shootout rule is specified.
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