TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Predators vs. Blackhawks
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 22 at 3:00PM ET: If the Predators win, the market will resolve to "Predators". If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on moneyline outcome (either team winning), while Polymarket resolves on totals and spreads. Kalshi's markets are logically contradictory—both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve YES.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi markets in this group entirely. They contain a logical flaw: both 'NSH wins' and 'CHI wins' are marked to resolve YES, making the market unresolvable. Trade only Polymarket markets, which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria (Over/Under totals and spread outcomes).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents two moneyline outcomes (NSH wins → YES; CHI wins → YES) that are mutually exclusive in reality but both marked to resolve YES, creating a logical contradiction. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Quote: 'If NSH Predators wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If CHI Blackhawks wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six separate markets covering totals (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), moneyline (Predators vs. Blackhawks), and spreads (Blackhawks -1.5, Predators -1.5), each with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Predators and Blackhawks combine to score 8 or more goals...If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to Under.'
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.