TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Portland Timbers vs. Columbus Crew
Volume:
$528,056
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Portland Timbers vs. Columbus Crew MLS match scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: goal-differential thresholds (Kalshi), match result (win/loss/draw) and draw-specific outcomes (Polymarket). All markets reference the same 90-minute regulation plus stoppage time window.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets resolve on goal-differential thresholds (>1.5 or >2.5 goals), while Polymarket markets resolve on binary match outcomes (win/loss/draw). Both reference the same game and time window, but measure different settlement values.Hero Tip:
These are distinct product types, not competing markets. Kalshi offers goal-spread exposure; Polymarket offers moneyline and draw exposure. Use them for different trading strategies. Both platforms agree on the 90-minute plus stoppage time window and the February 21, 2026 date, so timing risk is minimal.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four markets, each YES if either team wins by more than a specified goal margin (1.5 or 2.5 goals). Resolves on goal differential, not match result. Key Quote: 'If Columbus wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three markets: Portland win (YES if Portland wins), Columbus win (YES if Columbus wins), and draw (YES if match ends level). Resolves on match outcome, not goal differential. Key Quote: 'If Portland Timbers wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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