A men's college basketball game between Portland State Vikings and Montana State Bobcats scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds, and total points over/under at multiple lines.
Kalshi moneyline market contains logical contradiction where both possible outcomes resolve to Yes. Polymarket and Kalshi spread/total markets are internally consistent. The divergence is isolated to Kalshi's moneyline structure only.
Hero Tip:
Focus trading on Polymarket moneyline and both platforms' spread/total markets, which share unified resolution logic. Request clarification on Kalshi moneyline before committing capital. The spread and total markets across both platforms are safe to trade as written.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Montana St. win and Portland St. win resolve to Yes. This creates logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Montana St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Portland St. wins...resolves to Yes'. Spread and total markets on Kalshi follow standard logic.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Portland State Vikings or Montana State Bobcats) based on final score including overtime. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Portland State Vikings win, the market will resolve to Portland State Vikings. If the Montana State Bobcats win, the market will resolve to Montana State Bobcats.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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