TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Portland State Vikings vs. Idaho Vandals (W)
Volume:
$21,131
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Portland State Vikings and Idaho Vandals scheduled for February 19, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Idaho win and Portland State win) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a winner-selection market. Polymarket's logic is clear and functional.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot function as written because there is no way to distinguish between the two outcomes. Contact Kalshi support immediately to determine if this is a drafting error or if the market actually resolves on whether the game is played rather than who wins. Do not place trades on Kalshi until clarification is received.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary winner selection: resolves to Portland State Vikings if they win, Idaho Vandals if they win. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open. Key quote: 'If the Portland State Vikings win, the market will resolve to Portland State Vikings. If the Idaho Vandals win, the market will resolve to Idaho Vandals.'
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory: states both 'If Idaho wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Portland St. wins... resolves to Yes', creating identical outcomes for mutually exclusive events. Key quote: 'If Idaho wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Portland St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.