TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pistons vs. 76ers
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 4 at 7:00PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline markets resolve YES for both possible outcomes (Philadelphia wins OR Detroit wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes these markets fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution logic where each outcome resolves to a distinct value.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) entirely — they are logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result. Trade only on Polymarket's markets, which use proper binary logic: Pistons resolves to 'Pistons', 76ers resolves to '76ers', and spread/total markets resolve based on final score.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Both moneyline markets (items 1-2) state 'the market resolves to Yes' for both Philadelphia winning AND Detroit winning, creating a logical impossibility where every outcome produces YES. This makes settlement impossible.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard binary logic: Moneyline resolves to 'Pistons' if Pistons win, '76ers' if 76ers win, with 50-50 split only if game is canceled. Spread markets resolve based on point differential (e.g., 'Pistons' if win by threshold or more, '76ers' otherwise). Total markets resolve Over/Under based on combined final score. All markets include postponement and cancellation clauses.
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