TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Philadelphia Union vs. San Jose Earthquakes
Volume:
$1,228,946
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the March 7, 2026 MLS match between Philadelphia Union and San Jose Earthquakes. Markets track whether San Jose wins, Philadelphia wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi's structure creates logical impossibility (all three mutually exclusive outcomes cannot all resolve Yes). Polymarket provides explicit, mutually exclusive cancellation rules.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's cancellation logic is sound and tradeable. Kalshi's cancellation clause is unenforceable as written. If you hold Kalshi positions, assume cancellation will trigger a force-majeure ruling or indefinite hold, not the stated Yes resolution. Polymarket traders should note that cancellation = Yes on Draw, No on both Win markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcome markets (San Jose win, Tie, Philadelphia win) resolve to Yes if their respective outcome occurs. Cancellation handling is not explicitly stated, but the structure implies all three would resolve Yes if game is canceled—a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If [outcome] wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit cancellation rules: San Jose Win resolves No on cancellation, Philadelphia Win resolves No on cancellation, Draw resolves Yes on cancellation. This ensures mutual exclusivity. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (Win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve Yes' (Draw market).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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