TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC
Volume:
$450,320
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves all three possible match outcomes (Philadelphia win, Chicago win, tie) to YES, creating a logical contradiction where every scenario resolves identically. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with three separate markets that resolve to YES/NO based on specific outcomes, aligning with conventional prediction market design.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's markets in this group—they are logically incoherent and will resolve YES regardless of match result. Use Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Philadelphia win, Chicago win, draw) for meaningful price discovery and risk management.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: All three markets resolve YES for any match outcome. Market 1 resolves YES if Chicago wins, Market 2 resolves YES if tie occurs, Market 3 resolves YES if Philadelphia wins. This means every possible 90-minute result triggers YES across all three markets simultaneously, violating the mutual exclusivity required for coherent prediction markets.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Three separate binary markets, each resolving YES or NO based on a single mutually exclusive outcome. Philadelphia market resolves YES only if Philadelphia wins; Chicago market resolves YES only if Chicago wins; draw market resolves YES only if the match ends tied. Exactly one market resolves YES per match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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