TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner
kalshi
polymarket

PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner

Volume:
$55,619,080

J.J. Spaun

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 6, 2026

Closed: Apr 4, 8:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

J.J. Spaun

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,733,514
N/A
N/A
$1,932,798
Settled
Yes
polymarket

J.J. Spaun

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,895
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Robert MacIntyre

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,926,810
N/A
N/A
$2,833,536
Settled
No
polymarket

Robert MacIntyre

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,876
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,683,248
N/A
N/A
$3,540,596
Settled
No
polymarket

Ludvig Aberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,527
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrew Putnam

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,751,387
N/A
N/A
$1,685,461
Settled
No
polymarket

Andrew Putnam

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,672
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryo Hisatsune

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,677,439
N/A
N/A
$1,942,489
Settled
No
polymarket

Ryo Hisatsune

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tommy Fleetwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,328,985
N/A
N/A
$1,295,103
Settled
No
polymarket

Tommy Fleetwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,035
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Matt Wallace

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,215,768
N/A
N/A
$1,301,143
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,080,667
N/A
N/A
$1,407,220
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tony Finau

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,894,318
N/A
N/A
$1,461,787
Settled
No
polymarket

Tony Finau

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,991
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Spieth

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,352,955
N/A
N/A
$1,241,510
Settled
No
polymarket

Jordan Spieth

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sepp Straka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,311,532
N/A
N/A
$1,139,925
Settled
No
kalshi

Marco Penge

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,250,617
N/A
N/A
$1,107,543
Settled
No
polymarket

Marco Penge

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hideki Matsuyama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,039,037
N/A
N/A
$951,495
Settled
No
polymarket

Hideki Matsuyama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,528
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sudarshan Yellamaraju

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$940,425
N/A
N/A
$928,503
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 261

Description

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different market structures and resolution scopes. Kalshi offers 140 individual binary markets (one per player), each resolving YES if that specific player wins. Polymarket offers individual player markets plus an 'Any Other Player' catch-all market, and explicitly defines 'Other' resolution if an unlisted player wins—creating a logical contradiction with Kalshi's structure, which lacks an 'Other' option and would leave all 140 markets unresolved if an unlisted player wins.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, your market resolves YES only if your named player wins; if any unlisted player wins, all 140 Kalshi markets remain unresolved with no defined outcome. On Polymarket, an unlisted winner triggers 'Other' resolution. Do not assume cross-platform hedging will work—the two platforms have incompatible resolution frameworks for the same event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 140 individual binary markets, one per named player. Each market resolves YES if and only if that player wins the tournament; no 'Other' or catch-all option is defined. If any unlisted player wins, all 140 markets have no defined resolution path and would remain unresolved. Key quote: 'If [named player] wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes' (repeated for each of 140 players with no fallback clause).
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers individual player markets plus an explicit 'Any Other Player' market. Resolution rules state: 'If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".' This creates a complete resolution framework where every possible outcome (named player wins, or unlisted player wins) maps to a defined resolution. Key quote: 'If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".' Additionally, Polymarket specifies a deadline: 'If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".' Kalshi provides no such deadline or fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.