TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner
Description
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different market structures and resolution scopes. Kalshi offers 140 individual binary markets (one per player), each resolving YES if that specific player wins. Polymarket offers individual player markets plus an 'Any Other Player' catch-all market, and explicitly defines 'Other' resolution if an unlisted player wins—creating a logical contradiction with Kalshi's structure, which lacks an 'Other' option and would leave all 140 markets unresolved if an unlisted player wins.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, your market resolves YES only if your named player wins; if any unlisted player wins, all 140 Kalshi markets remain unresolved with no defined outcome. On Polymarket, an unlisted winner triggers 'Other' resolution. Do not assume cross-platform hedging will work—the two platforms have incompatible resolution frameworks for the same event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 140 individual binary markets, one per named player. Each market resolves YES if and only if that player wins the tournament; no 'Other' or catch-all option is defined. If any unlisted player wins, all 140 markets have no defined resolution path and would remain unresolved. Key quote: 'If [named player] wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes' (repeated for each of 140 players with no fallback clause).
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers individual player markets plus an explicit 'Any Other Player' market. Resolution rules state: 'If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".' This creates a complete resolution framework where every possible outcome (named player wins, or unlisted player wins) maps to a defined resolution. Key quote: 'If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".' Additionally, Polymarket specifies a deadline: 'If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".' Kalshi provides no such deadline or fallback.
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