TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Peterborough United FC vs. Port Vale FC
Volume:
$76,093
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Peterborough United FC and Port Vale FC are scheduled to compete on April 16, 2026, in what appears to be an EFL (English Football League) fixture. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are being traded: a Peterborough win, a Port Vale win, or a draw. All markets measure only the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. It resolves YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Peterborough win, Port Vale win, or tie), violating the fundamental principle that exactly one outcome must occur in a match.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market entirely. It contains a logical impossibility: all three resolution conditions resolve to YES, making it impossible to determine a single correct settlement. Polymarket markets are coherent and tradeable; Kalshi's structure suggests a critical platform error or misconfiguration.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering mutually exclusive outcomes: Peterborough win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO), and Port Vale win (YES/NO). Exactly one will resolve YES. Resolution source is official EFL statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Cancellation without makeup resolves the win markets to NO and the draw market to YES.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, each stating 'resolves to Yes' for Peterborough win, Port Vale win, or Tie. This creates a logical contradiction: all three conditions cannot simultaneously be true, yet the market structure implies all three resolve YES. No cancellation clause or tie-breaking logic provided. Quote: 'If Peterborough wins... resolves to Yes. If Port Vale wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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