TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC
Volume:
$405,376
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Sunday, April 12, 2026 between Perth Glory FC and Macarthur FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket differ fundamentally in scope and market structure. Kalshi offers four separate over/under markets on total goals (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), while Polymarket offers three binary outcome markets (Perth win, Macarthur win, draw). The platforms resolve on different underlying events: Kalshi on goal totals, Polymarket on match result.Hero Tip:
These are not competing markets on the same outcome. Kalshi bettors are predicting goal volume; Polymarket bettors are predicting match result. A draw on Polymarket (e.g., 1-1) could resolve YES on Kalshi's 2.5 and 3.5 markets simultaneously. Do not treat these as hedges or arbitrage opportunities — they measure different dimensions of the match.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi settles on aggregate goal count thresholds. Four separate markets resolve YES if combined Perth + Macarthur goals exceed 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5 respectively after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Primary source is the match statistics as recorded by the A-League governing body.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket settles on match result (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three binary markets resolve based on whether Perth wins, Macarthur wins, or the match ends in a draw. Primary source is official A-League statistics or credible reporting consensus if official data is delayed beyond 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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