TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC
kalshi
polymarket

Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC

Volume:
$405,376

Perth Glory FC

 - Polymarket

Perth Glory FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 12, 5:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Perth Glory FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$83,946
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,924
N/A
N/A
$6,700
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,540
N/A
N/A
$5,750
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,421
N/A
N/A
$5,793
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Macarthur FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,070
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,463
N/A
N/A
$1,396
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Sunday, April 12, 2026 between Perth Glory FC and Macarthur FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket differ fundamentally in scope and market structure. Kalshi offers four separate over/under markets on total goals (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), while Polymarket offers three binary outcome markets (Perth win, Macarthur win, draw). The platforms resolve on different underlying events: Kalshi on goal totals, Polymarket on match result.Hero tip: These are not competing markets on the same outcome. Kalshi bettors are predicting goal volume; Polymarket bettors are predicting match result. A draw on Polymarket (e.g., 1-1) could resolve YES on Kalshi's 2.5 and 3.5 markets simultaneously. Do not treat these as hedges or arbitrage opportunities — they measure different dimensions of the match.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi settles on aggregate goal count thresholds. Four separate markets resolve YES if combined Perth + Macarthur goals exceed 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5 respectively after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Primary source is the match statistics as recorded by the A-League governing body.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket settles on match result (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three binary markets resolve based on whether Perth wins, Macarthur wins, or the match ends in a draw. Primary source is official A-League statistics or credible reporting consensus if official data is delayed beyond 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.