TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs
Volume:
$1,112,337
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Penn Quakers and Yale Bulldogs scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple over/under totals (150.5, 151.5, 152.5), and multiple spread variations (-8.5, -9.5, -10.5 favoring Yale).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Penn victory and Yale victory resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. The resolution logic is broken and cannot be settled. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) are resolvable and follow unified logic based on final score including overtime. Recommend trading only on Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Penn Quakers if Penn wins, Yale Bulldogs if Yale wins. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory (Yale -8.5 requires 9+ point win, -9.5 requires 10+ point win, -10.5 requires 11+ point win). Totals resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (150.5=151+, 151.5=152+, 152.5=153+). All markets: postponement keeps open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com.
- Kalshi: Moneyline states: 'If Penn wins the Penn at Yale men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yale wins the Penn at Yale men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to identical resolution (Yes), creating logical impossibility.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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