This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Penn Quakers and Dartmouth Big Green scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this matchup, with different resolution mechanics per platform.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both Penn winning and Dartmouth winning are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable binary market. Polymarket uses standard winner-take-all binary logic with clear edge case handling.
Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is unresolvable as currently specified. The platform must clarify whether the market should resolve to Yes only if Penn wins, or if there is a different intended structure. Until corrected, avoid trading on Kalshi. Polymarket's market is tradeable and follows conventional sports betting resolution rules.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all resolution. Penn Quakers win resolves to Penn Quakers; Dartmouth Big Green win resolves to Dartmouth Big Green. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Resolution determined by final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Contradictory dual-Yes mapping. States both Penn winning and Dartmouth winning resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No specification of No resolution condition or cancellation/postponement handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.