TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Penguins vs. Rangers
Volume:
$2,677,058
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the Pittsburgh Penguins and New York Rangers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and spread betting (-1.5 for each team). Resolution depends on final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Rangers win and Penguins win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. The market logic is broken and cannot be settled. Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and totals are all resolvable and internally consistent. Trade those markets instead.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to either Penguins or Rangers based on final score. Spreads require 2+ goal margin. Totals use thresholds of 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 goals combined. Shootout adds 1 goal to winner. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to Penguins. If the Rangers win, the market will resolve to Rangers.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If NYR Rangers wins...then resolves to Yes. If PIT Penguins wins...then resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible for a binary market and creates an unresolvable contradiction.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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