TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Penguins vs. Islanders
Volume:
$1,835,043
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NHL matchup between the Pittsburgh Penguins and New York Islanders scheduled for March 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), and multiple total goals over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). All resolution determinations are based on the final official score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different underlying events. Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins (making the market always YES), while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets on game outcomes (moneyline, spreads, and over/unders). Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory and unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market as written — it resolves YES regardless of outcome because both possible results (Penguins win OR Islanders win) trigger YES. Polymarket's markets are standard and resolvable: bet the moneyline for winner, spreads for margin, or over/unders for total goals. Treat Kalshi as data-integrity failure and rely on Polymarket for actual trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's resolution rule states 'If NYI Islanders wins... then YES' AND 'If PIT Penguins wins... then YES', creating a logical contradiction where every possible outcome resolves YES. This makes the market unresolvable and fundamentally different from Polymarket's approach.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers five separate resolvable markets — moneyline (Penguins vs. Islanders winner), three-way spread (Islanders -1.5), and four over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 goals). Each market has clear binary or ternary outcomes based on final score and includes standard NHL postponement and cancellation rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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