TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Penguins vs. Hurricanes
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 18 at 7:00PM ET: If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Penguins". If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides complete market specifications for six distinct markets (moneyline, four over/under totals, and spread), while Kalshi provides only a single binary market that fails to specify resolution logic for either outcome, creating a fundamental data integrity failure on the Kalshi platform.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as presented. The Kalshi specification states 'If PIT Penguins wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If CAR Hurricanes wins...resolves to Yes', meaning both outcomes resolve to Yes — this is logically impossible and unresolvable. Polymarket markets are fully specified and tradeable. Clarify Kalshi's intended logic before placing any bets on that platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Provides six fully specified markets with complete resolution logic, thresholds, and edge-case handling. Moneyline resolves based on final score including overtime/shootout adjustments; four over/under markets specify exact goal thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) and shootout scoring rules; spread market specifies a 2-goal margin requirement. All markets include postponement and cancellation clauses. Key quote: 'In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Provides a single binary market with a critical logical contradiction. The specification states both 'If PIT Penguins wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If CAR Hurricanes wins...resolves to Yes', leaving no outcome path to resolve to No. This creates an unresolvable market with no valid settlement logic. Key quote: 'If PIT Penguins wins the Pittsburgh at Carolina professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CAR Hurricanes wins the Pittsburgh at Carolina professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
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