TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Penguins vs. Bruins
Volume:
$1,750,395
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Boston Bruins scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (-1.5 goals), and over/under total goals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 thresholds). Resolution depends on final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Penguins and Bruins winning resolve to Yes, making binary settlement impossible. Polymarket markets are fully specified with clear thresholds and edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. It is unresolvable as written. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, over/unders) are well-defined and consistent with each other. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Penguins or Bruins based on final score. Spreads require 2+ goal margin. Over/unders use combined goal thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). Shootout adds 1 goal to winner. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to Penguins. If the Bruins win, the market will resolve to Bruins.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If BOS Bruins wins...then resolves to Yes. If PIT Penguins wins...then resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautology where both outcomes map to the same result. No specification for postponement, cancellation, or shootout handling. Key quote: 'If BOS Bruins wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If PIT Penguins wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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