TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pelicans vs. Raptors
Volume:
$4,239,097
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the New Orleans Pelicans and Toronto Raptors scheduled for March 27, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET in Toronto. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, determined by the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive market definitions with explicit resolution criteria, thresholds, and contingency rules for all 42 markets covering moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props. Kalshi provides only a single binary market that resolves YES if either team wins, creating a fundamental structural mismatch: Kalshi's market is logically contradictory (both outcomes cannot resolve to YES) and does not align with any of Polymarket's specific markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms expecting consistent settlement. Polymarket's 42 markets are granular and resolvable; Kalshi's single market is malformed and will likely face resolution disputes. If you hold positions on Kalshi, clarify the exact resolution rule with the platform immediately, as the published rule ('If New Orleans wins... then YES. If Toronto wins... then YES.') is logically impossible.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (comprehensive): Polymarket defines 42 distinct markets across moneyline, spreads (full game and 1H), totals (full game and 1H), and player props (points, rebounds, assists). Each market specifies explicit thresholds, resolution sources (official NBA box score), and contingencies (postponement, cancellation). Example: 'Spread: Raptors (-8.5)' resolves to Raptors if they win by 9+ points, otherwise Pelicans; cancellation resolves 50-50. All markets reference the same game (March 27, 8:30 PM ET) and official NBA.com as the authoritative source.
- Kalshi: Outlier (malformed): Kalshi publishes a single binary market with contradictory resolution logic: 'If New Orleans wins... then YES. If Toronto wins... then YES.' This rule violates basic logical consistency—both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to YES. The market lacks threshold definitions, contingency rules, or tie-breaking logic. No reference to official sources or handling of postponement/cancellation is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.