TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pelicans vs. Pistons
Volume:
$11,543,272
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the New Orleans Pelicans and Detroit Pistons scheduled for March 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with the final score including any overtime periods determining the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure creates a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (New Orleans wins OR Detroit wins) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures its markets with mutually exclusive outcomes (Pelicans vs. Pistons, spread thresholds, over/under totals).Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market for this game — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of outcome. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals, player props) are properly structured and resolvable. Stick to Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market states 'If New Orleans wins the New Orleans at Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Detroit wins the New Orleans at Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, making it unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with proper market structure: Polymarket's moneyline market correctly resolves to 'Pelicans' if the Pelicans win and 'Pistons' if the Pistons win, with mutually exclusive outcomes. All Polymarket markets (spreads, totals, player props, first-half markets) follow standard resolution logic with clear, non-contradictory conditions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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