TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pelicans vs. Kings
Volume:
$15,805,615
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the New Orleans Pelicans and Sacramento Kings scheduled for April 3 at 10:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Pelicans" or "Kings" accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, detailed market definitions with explicit resolution criteria, thresholds, and edge case handling (postponement, cancellation, player inactivity). Kalshi provides only a single binary market with no resolution details, criteria, or edge case specifications, making it fundamentally unresolvable without additional clarification.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you face critical ambiguity: the market does not specify which team must win, whether overtime counts, what happens if the game is postponed or canceled, or how to verify the result. Polymarket traders have explicit resolution rules for all scenarios. Avoid Kalshi until resolution criteria are published, or expect potential disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket provides 82 distinct markets with granular resolution logic covering moneyline, spreads, over/unders, player props (points, rebounds, assists), first-half markets, and explicit edge case handling. Each market specifies thresholds (e.g., 'Pelicans win by 6 or more points' for -5.5 spread), data sources ('official NBA box score as published on NBA.com'), and contingencies ('If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50'). Resolution source is consistently NBA.com official box scores.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides a single binary market ('If Sacramento wins the New Orleans at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New Orleans wins the New Orleans at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.') with no resolution criteria, no threshold definitions, no data source specification, no edge case handling for postponement or cancellation, and no clarification of how the winner is determined. The market structure is logically incoherent: both outcomes ('Sacramento wins' and 'New Orleans wins') are stated to resolve to 'Yes', creating an unresolvable contradiction.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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