Pelicans vs. Kings

Critical divergence points:

• Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket provides 82 distinct markets with granular resolution logic covering moneyline, spreads, over/unders, player props (points, rebounds, assists), first-half markets, and explicit edge case handling. Each market specifies thresholds (e.g., 'Pelicans win by 6 or more points' for -5.5 spread), data sources ('official NBA box score as published on NBA.com'), and contingencies ('If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50'). Resolution source is consistently NBA.com official box scores.
• Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides a single binary market ('If Sacramento wins the New Orleans at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New Orleans wins the New Orleans at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.') with no resolution criteria, no threshold definitions, no data source specification, no edge case handling for postponement or cancellation, and no clarification of how the winner is determined. The market structure is logically incoherent: both outcomes ('Sacramento wins' and 'New Orleans wins') are stated to resolve to 'Yes', creating an unresolvable contradiction.