TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Partizan vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
Volume:
$467,086
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for March 24 at 3:45PM ET: If the Partizan win, the market will resolve to "Partizan". If the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne win, the market will resolve to "ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken and resolves to Yes for every possible outcome (Partizan win, ASVEL win, or any other result), making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to either Partizan or ASVEL based on the game outcome, with a 50-50 split only if the game is canceled entirely.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The Kalshi resolution rule states 'If KK Partizan Belgrade wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne wins...then the market resolves to Yes', which means the market will resolve Yes regardless of who wins the game. This is a data integrity failure. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent binary logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Resolves to Partizan if Partizan wins, ASVEL if ASVEL wins, or 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup. The market has mutually exclusive outcomes based on the actual game result: 'If the Partizan win, the market will resolve to Partizan. If the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne win, the market will resolve to ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (broken logic): Resolves to Yes for both Partizan victory AND ASVEL victory, creating a logical contradiction. The rules state 'If KK Partizan Belgrade wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and separately 'If ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne wins...then the market resolves to Yes', meaning every possible game outcome triggers a Yes resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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