TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese - Halftime Result
polymarket
kalshi

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese - Halftime Result

Volume:
$2,978

Draw

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Cremonese

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,436
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cremonese

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
$593
Settled
No
polymarket

Parma Calcio 1913

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Parma Calcio

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the halftime result of a Serie A soccer match between Parma Calcio 1913 and US Cremonese scheduled for March 21, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track whether Parma wins, Cremonese wins, or the teams draw at the end of the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is ambiguous regarding mutual exclusivity of outcomes. Polymarket clearly presents three separate binary markets that are mutually exclusive by definition. The underlying halftime result is the same, but the market architecture differs in clarity and presentation.Hero tip: Use Polymarket's three-market structure as the authoritative framework: exactly one outcome occurs at halftime (Parma ahead, Cremonese ahead, or tied). On Kalshi, verify whether the three markets are designed to be mutually exclusive or if the platform allows multiple simultaneous Yes resolutions, which would indicate a structural error.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets, each asking a distinct question about halftime outcome. Cremonese leading market: Yes if Cremonese ahead after 45+stoppage, No otherwise. Parma leading market: Yes if Parma ahead after 45+stoppage, No otherwise. Draw market: Yes if tied after 45+stoppage, No otherwise. These are mutually exclusive by logical necessity.
  • Kalshi: Three separate markets presented as independent Yes/No resolutions: Market 1 resolves Yes if Parma wins first half; Market 2 resolves Yes if Cremonese wins first half; Market 3 resolves Yes if Tie occurs. The mutual exclusivity is implicit but not explicitly stated, creating ambiguity about whether all three could theoretically resolve Yes simultaneously.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.