TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese - Halftime Result
Volume:
$2,978
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of a Serie A soccer match between Parma Calcio 1913 and US Cremonese scheduled for March 21, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track whether Parma wins, Cremonese wins, or the teams draw at the end of the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is ambiguous regarding mutual exclusivity of outcomes. Polymarket clearly presents three separate binary markets that are mutually exclusive by definition. The underlying halftime result is the same, but the market architecture differs in clarity and presentation.Hero Tip:
Use Polymarket's three-market structure as the authoritative framework: exactly one outcome occurs at halftime (Parma ahead, Cremonese ahead, or tied). On Kalshi, verify whether the three markets are designed to be mutually exclusive or if the platform allows multiple simultaneous Yes resolutions, which would indicate a structural error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets, each asking a distinct question about halftime outcome. Cremonese leading market: Yes if Cremonese ahead after 45+stoppage, No otherwise. Parma leading market: Yes if Parma ahead after 45+stoppage, No otherwise. Draw market: Yes if tied after 45+stoppage, No otherwise. These are mutually exclusive by logical necessity.
- Kalshi: Three separate markets presented as independent Yes/No resolutions: Market 1 resolves Yes if Parma wins first half; Market 2 resolves Yes if Cremonese wins first half; Market 3 resolves Yes if Tie occurs. The mutual exclusivity is implicit but not explicitly stated, creating ambiguity about whether all three could theoretically resolve Yes simultaneously.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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