TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli - Halftime Result
Volume:
$4,344
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of a Serie A match between Parma Calcio 1913 and SSC Napoli scheduled for April 12, 2026. Markets resolve based on which team is leading (or if it's a draw) after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The group includes three mutually exclusive outcomes: Parma leading, Napoli leading, or a draw at halftime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses three independent binary markets (YES/NO per outcome), while Kalshi uses three separate YES-only markets. Both cover the same halftime outcomes but encode them differently, creating potential for settlement misalignment if platform operators interpret the mutual exclusivity differently.Hero Tip:
Verify halftime result against official Serie A/Lega Serie A records. On Polymarket, confirm exactly one of the three binary outcomes resolves YES. On Kalshi, confirm exactly one of the three markets resolves YES. If discrepancies arise, document the official scoreline and file a dispute with both platforms citing the governing body's official statistics.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets: Parma leading (YES/NO), Napoli leading (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO). Each resolves independently based on halftime scoreline. Resolution source is official statistics from governing body or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours. Key quote: 'If Parma Calcio 1913 wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Three separate markets, each resolving YES if its condition is met: Parma winner, Napoli winner, or Tie at halftime. Structure implies mutual exclusivity (only one should resolve YES). No explicit fallback source mentioned; assumes official Serie A determination. Key quote: 'If Parma Calcio is the winner of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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