TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC - More Markets
Volume:
$737,161
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between Parma Calcio 1913 and Hellas Verona FC scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets span match outcome (Kalshi) and goal-based derivatives including over/under totals at multiple thresholds and both-teams-to-score (Polymarket).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi match outcome markets contain a logical contradiction: three separate Yes/No binary markets each claim to resolve Yes for mutually exclusive outcomes (Hellas win, Tie, Parma win). Exactly one will occur, making simultaneous Yes resolution impossible. This is a data integrity failure that renders the market structure unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi match outcome markets. The three-outcome structure (Win/Draw/Loss) cannot be represented as three independent binary Yes/No markets that each resolve Yes. Polymarket goal-based markets are logically sound and use consistent official source (legaseriea.it). Stick to Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets presented as independent Yes/No outcomes: (1) Hellas Verona wins → Yes, (2) Tie → Yes, (3) Parma wins → Yes. Since exactly one outcome occurs, all three cannot resolve Yes. This violates basic logical consistency and makes settlement ambiguous. Quote: 'If Hellas Verona wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Parma Calcio wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Goal-based markets use clear thresholds (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 and Both Teams to Score) with unambiguous binary outcomes (Over/Under or Yes/No). Official source is legaseriea.it. All markets explicitly scope to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement and cancellation rules are clearly defined. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if... combine to score [N] or more goals... If the combined total is less than [N], this market will resolve to Under.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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