TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC
Volume:
$23,678,178
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 8, 2026 between Paris Saint-Germain FC and Liverpool FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market rules contain a logical contradiction that makes resolution impossible: all three outcomes (PSG win, Liverpool win, Tie) are listed as resolving to YES, which violates the fundamental principle that exactly one outcome can occur. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with three separate markets (PSG win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO, Liverpool win YES/NO) that are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's PSG vs Liverpool markets until the contradiction is resolved. The platform's rules state that PSG winning, Liverpool winning, AND a tie all resolve to YES — this is mathematically impossible and suggests a critical drafting error. Polymarket's three-market structure is logically sound and resolvable. Seek clarification from Kalshi before placing any bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction in its resolution rules. The market states 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If PSG wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Liverpool wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means all three mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution (YES), making the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Offers three separate binary markets (PSG win, Draw, Liverpool win) where exactly one resolves YES and the other two resolve NO based on the 90-minute match outcome. Each market uses UEFA.com as the primary resolution source and includes identical postponement and cancellation clauses.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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