Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: the match outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 22, 2026, with the same primary resolution source (official governing body statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Ligue 1 statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
PSG win market resolves YES if PSG scores more goals than Nantes; otherwise NO.
Nantes win market resolves YES if Nantes scores more goals than PSG; otherwise NO.
Draw market resolves YES if both teams score equal goals; otherwise NO.
Exactly one of the three outcome markets (PSG win, Nantes win, or draw) will resolve YES.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed beyond April 22, 2026, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES (Polymarket) while both win markets resolve NO (Polymarket and Kalshi).
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official Ligue 1 governing body statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 22, 2026, or upon the rescheduled match date if postponed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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