TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München - Halftime Result
Volume:
$345,531
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Paris Saint-Germain FC and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible halftime outcomes (PSG win, Draw, Bayern win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's market entirely—it will resolve YES regardless of halftime result, making it worthless for prediction. Trade only on Polymarket's three separate binary markets (PSG leading, Draw, Bayern leading), where exactly one will resolve YES.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each mutually exclusive. PSG leading resolves YES only if PSG scores more; Draw resolves YES only if equal; Bayern leading resolves YES only if Bayern scores more. Exactly one market resolves YES. Quote: 'If Paris Saint-Germain FC wins within the first 45 minutes...this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions all mapped to YES: 'If PSG is the winner...then resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...then resolves to Yes. If Bayern Munich is the winner...then resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautology—the market resolves YES for every possible halftime outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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