TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$1,816
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the PSG vs Monaco Ligue 1 match scheduled for March 6, 2026. Markets track whether PSG leads, Monaco leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The group aggregates three distinct outcome markets across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive halftime outcomes (PSG win, Tie, Monaco win) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with explicit Yes/No conditions for each outcome.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as written—it contains a structural error. The three conditions are mutually exclusive but all resolve to Yes, which is impossible. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Draw Yes/No, PSG Leading Yes/No, Monaco Leading Yes/No) are logically sound and should be used as the authoritative settlement reference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market defines three conditions: (1) PSG winner → Yes, (2) Tie → Yes, (3) Monaco winner → Yes. All three mutually exclusive outcomes map to Yes resolution, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If PSG is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes. If Monaco is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit Yes/No logic: (1) Draw at halftime: Yes if tie, No otherwise; (2) PSG leading: Yes if PSG wins first half, No otherwise; (3) Monaco leading: Yes if Monaco wins first half, No otherwise. Resolution source is official governing body statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Cancellation resolves to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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