TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC
Volume:
$2,642,660
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the March 6, 2026 Ligue 1 match between Paris Saint-Germain FC and AS Monaco FC. Multiple prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking the final result (win/loss/draw) based on the 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi lacks explicit postponement and cancellation rules, while Polymarket defines them. This creates settlement ambiguity only in non-standard scenarios (postponement or full cancellation); normal match outcomes are aligned across platforms.Hero Tip:
If you are trading Kalshi markets, request clarification on postponement/cancellation handling before the match date. For Polymarket, note that cancellation creates a draw-favoring asymmetry: draw resolves Yes, both win markets resolve No. In normal play scenarios, treat all markets as unified on 90+stoppage time and Ligue1.com official stats.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three binary markets covering PSG win, Monaco win, and Tie outcomes. All resolve Yes if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit contingency stated for postponement or cancellation. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins the PSG vs Monaco professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate markets (Draw, PSG Win, Monaco Win) with explicit postponement and cancellation protocols. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation resolves draw to Yes and win markets to No. Primary source is Ligue1.com official stats within 2 hours, with credible reporting as fallback. Key Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes [draw] / No [win markets].'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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