TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Paris FC vs. Lille OSC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$10,716
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Paris FC and Lille OSC, scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Draw, Lille Leading, Paris Leading) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines a single market where ALL three outcomes resolve YES, creating a logical contradiction that makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market—it violates basic resolution logic by resolving YES for every possible halftime outcome. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES; treat them as a complete partition of outcomes. Kalshi's market is broken and should be flagged for cancellation or clarification.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all mutually exclusive halftime outcomes: (1) Draw at halftime resolves YES only if score is tied; (2) Lille Leading resolves YES only if Lille wins the first half; (3) Paris Leading resolves YES only if Paris wins the first half. Exactly one market resolves YES. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes...this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all mapped to YES: 'If Paris is the winner...then resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...then resolves to Yes. If Lille is the winner...then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—every possible outcome triggers YES, making the market non-falsifiable and unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.